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Titagarh Rail — Q4 FY26: The Passenger Pivot Converts

A transition year confirmed the momentum — now the ₹27,500 Cr order book converts.

05 Jun 2026·TITAGARH·Buy● open·Railways · Capital Goods

Rating

BUY

Active coverage

Price at note

838

Target price

1,089

+30% upside

The story

A transition year confirmed the underlying momentum. Revenue declined to ₹3,186 Cr on deliberate shifts toward passenger work rather than demand weakness. Passenger-segment revenue surged 110% to ₹540 Cr, with 63 metro cars shipped versus 12 previously. The company exited with net debt of ₹93 Cr and positive operating cash flow.

Two non-recurring drags compressed reported margins: a freight wheelset supply bottleneck that has since eased, and a metro contract where customers supplied materials at no cost. These effects are known, quantified and non-recurring; the underlying passenger margin and the freight run-rate are intact.

The investment thesis centres on converting an order book already 65% passenger-focused into revenues currently representing only a sixth of the business. That conversion drives the next two years: metro deliveries scaling from 63 cars (FY26) to ~133 (FY27) and ~176 (FY28); the Vande Bharat prototype delivering in H2 FY27 with scheduled shipments from FY28; and wheel joint-venture production commencing June 2026.

Q4 & FY26 results

MetricFY26 actual
Revenue₹3,186 Cr (−20% YoY)
EBITDA₹348 Cr
EBITDA margin10.9%
PAT₹122 Cr
EPS₹9.0
Net debt₹93 Cr (0.3× EBITDA)

Freight contributed ₹2,604 Cr at roughly 12% segment margin. Passenger generated ₹540 Cr at a record 12.9% segment margin. Naval, carved into its own subsidiary, recorded ₹42 Cr at a loss while establishing series-production capability.

Front Wave Research LLP · SEBI Registered Research Analyst · INH000018407. This note is research, not investment advice. Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. Read all related documents carefully before investing.