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Shyam Metalics — Q4 FY26: Record Quarter, Platform in the Making

Best quarter in company history — and the ₹16,602 Cr build-out is just starting to land.

26 May 2026·SHYAMMETL·Buy● open·Metals & Mining

Rating

BUY

Active coverage

Price at note

880

Target price

1,316

+49.5% upside

Q4 FY26 result

Best quarter in company history — record revenue, EBITDA, and margins across all segments.

MetricQ4 FY26Growth
Revenue₹5,240 Cr+26.3% YoY, +18.5% QoQ
EBITDA₹727 Cr+41.2% YoY
EBITDA margin13.9%+150 bps YoY (record)
PAT (owners)₹311 Cr+42.0% YoY
FY26 full-year revenue₹18,552 Cr+22.4% YoY
FY26 full-year EBITDA₹2,332 Cr+25.1% YoY
FY26A EPS₹37.6+15.5% YoY

Front Wave view. The quarter resolved whether the ₹16,602 Cr capex cycle would expand or compress margins. EBITDA/tonne on carbon steel jumped to ₹7,460/t in Q4 from ₹5,095 in Q3 — a 46% sequential surge from product-mix enhancement, indicating a structural rather than seasonal ramp.

The expansion story

From ₹12,651 Cr to ₹30,900 Cr — a transformation in progress.

Shyam Metalics is transitioning from a mid-cap carbon-steel producer to a large-cap diversified metals platform. Three non-correlated growth engines activate simultaneously through FY28.

Investment thesis. At 6.2× FY28E EV/EBITDA, the company trades at a 20–30% discount to peers despite 2× volume growth and a net-cash balance sheet. The stock deserves re-rating as a diversified materials platform as six product lines commission between Apr-26 and Mar-29.

Act 1 — volume supercycle: 49 LT → 72 LT by FY28E

PeriodRevenueGrowthEBITDA margin
FY24A₹12,651 Cr11.9%
FY25A₹15,159 Cr+19.8%12.3%
FY26A₹18,552 Cr+22.4%12.6%
FY27E₹25,900 Cr+39.6%13.7%
FY28E₹30,900 Cr+19.3%14.6%

Revenue CAGR FY24–FY28E: 29% · margin expansion: +200 bps.

Act 2 — mix shift drives the margin re-rating

ProductEBITDA/tonneMultiple vs carbon steel
Carbon steel₹7,4601.0×
Pig iron₹7,2000.97×
SS long₹8,5121.14×
Ferro alloys₹18,7802.52×
Aluminium foil₹36,5624.90×

Front Wave Research LLP · SEBI Registered Research Analyst · INH000018407. This note is research, not investment advice. Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. Read all related documents carefully before investing.