Front Wave Research

Results

Subscribers

Steel Strips Wheels — Q4 FY26: The Mix Shift Is the Signal

Strong revenue growth with profit held back by exports — the export cycle is the noise; the mix shift is the signal.

08 Jun 2026·SSWL·Buy● open·Auto Components

Rating

BUY

Active coverage

Price at note

223

Target price

316

+41.7% upside

The story

Strong revenue growth, with profit held back by exports.

FY26 revenue reached ₹5,183 Cr, up 17% year on year, with Q4 delivering ₹1,474.6 Cr (+19.5%). Reported profit, however, declined 3.7% to ₹202 Cr on a cyclical export slump — exports fell 19% for the year and 38% in Q4 on global destocking and US tariff uncertainty.

Beneath the headline, the business improved meaningfully. EBITDA per wheel and the alloy-plus-knuckle mix both kept rising through the year — the structural signal the profit decline obscured. Alloy wheels grew to ₹1,866 Cr, aluminium knuckles scaled to ₹69 Cr from inception, and EBITDA per wheel climbed from ₹254 to ₹256 with a Q4 exit run-rate of ₹282.

Q4 & FY26 results

MetricFY26AChange
Revenue₹5,183 Cr+17% YoY
EBITDA₹511 Cr9.9% margin
PAT₹202 Cr−3.7% YoY
EPS₹12.9
Q4 revenue₹1,475 Cr+19.5%
Alloy revenue₹1,866 Cr+31% YoY
Exports₹454 Cr−19% YoY
EBITDA per wheel₹256Q4 exit ₹282

The export drag. Exports fell from ₹561 Cr to ₹454 Cr over FY26 and dropped 38% in Q4. Because export wheels carry richer margins, that single line accounts for essentially the entire year-on-year profit delta. Domestic volumes stayed strong across commercial vehicles and tractors.

EBITDA per wheel kept improving. Despite losing high-margin export mix, EBITDA per wheel rose to ₹256 for the year and exited Q4 at ₹282. Mix improvement and firmer realisations offset the export shortfall on a per-unit basis.

Front Wave view: SSWL leaves FY26 running well ahead of its full-year pace on both volume and per-wheel margin. The annual optics look soft; the run-rate into FY27 does not.

Why we own it

A market-leading wheel franchise, diversifying into aluminium.

The market still prices SSWL as a cyclical steel-wheel supplier. It is quietly becoming something better — a producer with pricing power on its core product, a foothold in structural aluminium beyond wheels, and a capital base about to stop growing.

1. The return of pricing power

Front Wave Research LLP · SEBI Registered Research Analyst · INH000018407. This note is research, not investment advice. Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. Read all related documents carefully before investing.